The Global Warming Challenge

Evidence-based forecasting for climate change

Required Reading

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Don’t know where to begin? No problem.

• Start off by reading Kesten C. Green and J. Scott Armstrong’s paper, Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists versus Scientific Forecasts.

• Head over to publicpolicyforecasting.com to view the official page of the Global Warming audit.

• Then read about Julian Simon’s bet (the Simon-Ehrlich wager) for Professor Armstrong’s inspiration for the challenge.

Julian L. Simon and Paul Ehrlich entered in a famous wager in 1980, betting on a mutually agreed upon measure of resource scarcity over the decade leading up to 1990.”

• Take a look at the official terms of the challenge to Al Gore.

• Read responses Armstrong has received from Al Gore’s associates.

Written by climatebet

June 18, 2007 at 12:19 am

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