The Global Warming Challenge

Armstrong’s testimony available on YouTube

Posted in forecasting, global warming, j scott armstrong, polar bears by climatebet on February 5th, 2008

Below is Armstrong’s testimony from YouTube; it is approximately 6 minutes in length. Before you watch the video, please take this brief poll. Based on the image, what do you think will be the trend for the rest of the 21st century? Then, after watching the video, click to see Exhibit 3 found at the end of this post to see how Hunter et. al came to their conclusions.

exhibit11.png

I think the trend will be:
1) sharply upward
2) upward
3) slightly upward
4) hard to say
5) slightly downward
6) downward
7) sharply downward

View Results

Click here to see Exhibit 3. It shows the data used to estimate the key relationship.

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