Comments on: KFYR 550AM - pH pHactor http://theclimatebet.com/2007/07/19/kfyr-550am-ph-phactor/ Scott Armstrong vs. Al Gore Fri, 25 Jul 2008 17:09:40 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=MU By: zaphod http://theclimatebet.com/2007/07/19/kfyr-550am-ph-phactor/#comment-63 zaphod Mon, 23 Jul 2007 13:22:43 +0000 http://theclimatebet.com/2007/07/19/kfyr-550am-ph-phactor/#comment-63 Your bet tracks the warming because it is based-upon short intervals. You are relying on measurement noise masking the actual rise in a year. If you were serious about this bet, you would bet over a longer period of time and as you doubtless realise this cancels-out the noise of measurement, making your risk much greater! Structuring the bet this way limits your risk and it biases the 'bet' unfairly towards yourselves and away from takers. That way you limit your losses and appear to show people like Al Gore in a bad light, and get yourselves publicity at the same time. Obviously, your motives are political and are not scientific. If you were to make the bet fair by placing it over a longer period, then you'd have more takers. I doubt you've got the balls! Your bet tracks the warming because it is based-upon short intervals. You are relying on measurement noise masking the actual rise in a year. If you were serious about this bet, you would bet over a longer period of time and as you doubtless realise this cancels-out the noise of measurement, making your risk much greater!

Structuring the bet this way limits your risk and it biases the ‘bet’ unfairly towards yourselves and away from takers. That way you limit your losses and appear to show people like Al Gore in a bad light, and get yourselves publicity at the same time.

Obviously, your motives are political and are not scientific. If you were to make the bet fair by placing it over a longer period, then you’d have more takers. I doubt you’ve got the balls!

]]> By: Tarun K Juyal http://theclimatebet.com/2007/07/19/kfyr-550am-ph-phactor/#comment-61 Tarun K Juyal Thu, 19 Jul 2007 07:06:34 +0000 http://theclimatebet.com/2007/07/19/kfyr-550am-ph-phactor/#comment-61 Aftergone through this blog i am very impressed. But I am also write some information about <a href="http://www.lifeofearth.blogspot.com" rel="nofollow">Global Warming</a> Aftergone through this blog i am very impressed. But I am also write some information about Global Warming

]]>